World Population Prospects 2024
World Population Prospects 2024: Ten Key Messages 1. The world’s population is likely to peak within the current century. • The world’s population is expected to continue growing over the coming 50 or 60 years, reaching a peak of around 10.3 billion people in the mid-2080s, up from 8.2 billion in 2024. • After peaking, the global population is projected to start declining gradually, falling to 10.2 billion people by the end of the century. • The estimated likelihood that the world’s population will peak within the current century is very high (with a probability of 80 per cent). • This represents a major change compared to projections published by the United Nations in 2013, when the estimated probability that global population growth would end during the twenty-first century was around 30 per cent. • The size of the world’s population in 2100 is now expected to be 6 per cent smaller – or about 700 million people fewer – than anticipated a decade ago. • The earlier oc...